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NFL Draft

Favorite Week 8 NFL Player Props: Plus-Odds Only

  • The Draft Network
  • October 31, 2020
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Welcome to this new feature here at The Draft Network. Those who have followed along with TDN Fantasy's podcasts and video shows are very familiar with our "Locks of the Week," picks against the spread, and the occasional player prop. You've been able to find info on the first two here on the website, but we haven't been posting the latter (before Week 7), leaving those for social media and video shows. That changes now.

Each week, I will post my favorite NFL player props for the Sunday ahead but with a slight twist: all plays will return plus-odds. For those unfamiliar with that term, that means your potential winnings will exceed the amount you're betting. The player prop market is exhilarating, but you can also find your bankroll juiced to death if you never deviate from the standard over/under plays. Customizing your well-researched plays is the best bet.

Without further ado, here are my favorite plus-odds NFL player props for Week 8 in no particular order. All are one-unit bets unless otherwise noted. If you'd like to wager on these along with me, head on over to BetOnline's Player Props Builder.

Note: More bets are likely to be added on Saturday or Sunday morning depending on when they become available, so please check back in throughout the weekend.

Diontae Johnson at least 6 receptions (+108)

The matchup isn't great, but Johnson is the true WR1 in Pittsburgh—and when he's been fully healthy, he's putting up big numbers. In his three fully operational games this season, Johnson is averaging 12.7 targets, 7.7 receptions, and 76.3 yards per game. His lowest catch output in those contests were the six receptions he had in Week 1 (he had eight and nine catches in the other two games). I think Ben Roethlisberger finds a way to get Johnson the ball as he has all season when the young receiver has been healthy.

Myles Gaskin at least 5 receptions (+251)

I expect Tua Tagovailoa's first start to be full of easy, check-down passes. One player that should be a huge beneficiary of that is Gaskin, who is really coming into his own this season and is averaging 4.5 catches per game coming into this week. The one area Miami's offense might be able to exploit is Gaskin versus Rams linebackers in the passing game and I expect offensive coordinator Chan Gailey to attack that area early and often. Getting this at more than 2.5/1 odds is great value for a player with three five-plus catch games in six contests this season.

Brandon Aiyuk at least 5 receptions (+110) + [half-unit] at least 6 receptions (+309)

This one feels like a no-brainer to me. Aiyuk assumes the role of No. 1 WR on the 49ers against the worst secondary in football—what's not to like? In a game in which Deebo Samuel got injured, Aiyuk caught a career-high six passes for a career-high 115 yards in Week 7. Now, he's facing a team allowing 368.7 passing yards per game and and 22 receptions per game to wide receivers this season.

A.J. Green at least 6 receptions (+134)

I'm betting on the target share here. Green has seen 24 targets over the last two weeks and has four games with nine or more this season. If he gets double-digit targets for the third straight week, he'll catch at least six of them. The Titans secondary is a bottom-half unit against the pass, as well.

Sunday Morning Additions:

  1. Corey Davis at least 5 receptions (+110)
  2. Justin Jackson at least 4 receptions (+120)
  3. Alvin Kamara at least 8 receptions (+102)
  4. Kendrick Bourne at least 4 receptions (+104)
  5. CeeDee Lamb at least 56 receiving yards (+108)


Tyler Boyd at least 9 receptions (+650) + at least 10 receptions (14/1)

These odds are just too good to pass up. The Bengals will be without their starting left tackle, right tackle, and center for this matchup. That means Joe Burrow needs to get the ball out of his hands fast, and he should look to slot receiver Boyd early and often. Boyd is playing 76% of his snaps from the slot and the Titans will be without starting slot corner Kristian Fulton for this matchup. That's all a match made in heaven. Boyd already has two 10-catch games this season, why not a third under these conditions?

Sunday Morning Addition:

  1. Carson Wentz at least 3 passing touchdowns (+284)

2020 Props Tracker: +3.70 units

Last Week: -0.69 units

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