Week 9’s edition of Monday Night Football is an AFC East battle between the 2-5 New England Patriots and the winless New York Jets. Cam Newton hopes that the prescription of playing the Jets cures his passing woes, while Sam Darnold and Co. hope to just hope to win their first game since Christmas weekend 2019.

After an exciting Sunday slate, bettors still itching to wager on the NFL can get their fix again tonight. So what should we expect on Monday Night Football? What is the best bet? Let’s take a look. All odds are courtesy of our friends over at BetOnline.

Spread: NE: -10 (-103) | NYJ: +10 (-117)

Moneyline: NE: (-450) | NYJ: (+360)

Total: 41 – Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

This matchup isn’t anywhere near as fun as it used to be, but sometimes games featuring two undesirable teams actually turns out to be an exciting viewing experience. That’s what football fans are hoping for on Monday night.

The analysis for this game is pretty simple: both of these teams are bad, but one is far worse than the other. Let’s get into some stats.

New England’s defense, decimated by the most recent free agency cycle and COVID-19 opt-outs, isn’t nearly as good as it was last season. However, it still ranks in the top half of the league in total defense (14th) and scoring defense (12th). The Jets, on the other hand, rank 26th in total defense and in the bottom five in points allowed.

On the other side of the ball, the Patriots offense is struuuuuuuuuuuuuuugling to get anything going. Newton has been a well-below-average passer since Week 2, Julian Edelman is hurt, and aside from some flashes from Damien Harris, the running game has been inconsistent at best and punchless at worst. The offensive unit overall ranks 21st in total yards and 29th in scoring. But then there’s the Jets, a team ranked dead last in both categories. The gap between the Jets (11.9 points per game) and the next-worst team (Giants, 18.1 points per game) is the equivalent of the jump from 31st place to 20th among scoring leaders. Oh, and starting quarterback Sam Darnold won’t be playing in this game.

Simply put, the Jets are by far the worst team in football. Even for all of New England’s struggles, Newton, Harris, and the Patriots’ defense should find enough success in this game to win and cover.

ATS Pick: Patriots -10

NFL picks ATS 2020: 62-41-2 (60%)

NFL picks ATS 2019: 145-119-3 (55%)

NFL picks ATS 2018: 140-115-12 (55%)

To bet on this game and more, head on over to BetOnline.