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NFL Draft

NFL Week 9 Betting: Locks of the Week

  • The Draft Network
  • November 7, 2020
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We’re back for the eighth week of NFL betting action. Hopefully, you joined us on our video show breaking down Week 9’s slate of games as well as our locks of the week. If you didn’t, check out the video below.

If you’ve followed along over the last two seasons of the TDN Fantasy Podcast, you know my and Jake Arians’ “Locks of the Week” have paid out. We’re doing them again this season and adding this written component.

Let’s dive in, with all odds being supplied by our friends over at BetOnline.

Jaime’s Lock No. 1: Steelers -14 (-108)

This is the biggest spread of the weekend, but it’s also the biggest mismatch. The Steelers rank in the top five in fewest yards allowed defensively, sixth in fewest points allowed, and top five in points scored offensively. On the other hand, the Cowboys are allowing a league-high 33.3 points per game and have scored just 7.33 points per game since Dak Prescott went down. The worry here is that this could be a let-down game for the Steelers after a huge win over the Ravens last week and a bad opponent on the road this week, but I can’t imagine Garrett Gilbert or Cooper Rush will do anything against this Pittsburgh defense to keep it close. Dallas has lost each of its last three games by an average of 21.33 points, and has lost four of its last five by at least 11. As long as this line stays under 14.5, I think we’ll all avoid the backdoor cover by Dallas.

Jaime’s Lock No. 2: Vikings -3.5 (-110)

Matthew Stafford landing on the COVID-19 list has taken this line off the board for the time being, but if he’s able to play on Sunday and this line is restored to around the four-point spread it had when it was taken down, I like the Vikings to win and cover. Kirk Cousins has been surprisingly good against the Lions lately. He’s 4-0 against them since coming to Minnesota and has thrown for eight touchdowns and zero interceptions in the last three meetings. With Dalvin Cook operating at full capacity and with the Lions without Kenny Golladay, I really liked this line where it was originally. Detroit has lost both games Golladay missed with injury this season, averaging 22.0 points per game offensively as opposed to 26.6 points per game with him. 

Note: While an obvious downgrade at quarterback from Stafford to Chase Daniel helps Minnesota’s chances, it also likely makes this a double-digit spread. If Stafford is ruled out, I still might wager on the Vikings with a larger spread depending on where it lands. 

Eisner’s Locks 2020: 9-9-3 (50%)

Eisner ATS 2020: 67-50-2 (57%)

Eisner’s Locks 2019: 16-11-0 (59%)

Eisner’s Locks 2018: 25-13-2 (66%)

Jake’s Lock No. 1: Seahawks -3 (-108)

Jake’s Lock No. 2: Ravens pk (-125)

Arians’ Locks 2020: 8-7-1 (53%)

Arians ATS 2020: 63-54-2 (54%)

Arians’ Locks 2018: 16-14-1 (53%)

To wager on these games and more, head over to BetOnline.

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