We’re back for the 17th week of NFL betting action. Hopefully, you joined us on our video show breaking down Week 17’s slate of games as well as our locks of the week. If you didn’t, check out the video below:
If you’ve followed along over the last two seasons of the TDN Fantasy Podcast, you know my and Jake Arians’ “Locks of the Week” have paid out—although, you may be better off fading my locks and betting on all my other plays this season. We’re doing them again this season and adding this written component. Let’s dive in, with all odds being supplied by our friends over at BetOnline.
https://twitter.com/JaimeEisner/status/1344796972570521601
Jaime’s Lock No. 1: 7.5-point teaser [+117] — Titans (pk) + Ravens (-5.5) + Colts (-6.5)
Jaime obviously expects all three of these teams to win, but wants to get a more favorable number. Some fun facts, one for each team teased:
-- The Titans have won 73% of their divisional road games over the last three seasons, and they’re simply a better team than Houston (despite Deshaun Watson’s heroics).
-- Away favorites of -8 or more have covered in only 33.3% of their games this season. Away favorites of -7.5 or less have covered in 59% of their games this season. Let’s get a more favorable number for a Baltimore team with the playoffs on the line.
-- You’ll read more on the Colts below, but they should throttle the Jaguars. Jaime hates totals that reach this high, however, even if home favorites of -8 or more are covering 56.3% of the time this season. The Colts are a perfect team to tease this weekend.
Eisner’s Locks 2020: 18-17-3 (51%)
Eisner ATS 2020: 128-105-6 (55%)
Eisner’s Locks 2019: 16-11-0 (59%)
Eisner’s Locks 2018: 25-13-2 (66%)
Jake’s Lock No. 1: Colts -14 (-110)
This is a revenge game for the Colts and possibly Philip Rivers’ last game in the NFL. With a playoff spot on the line, Indianapolis is going to go all out against a far inferior squad. The Colts lost to Jacksonville in Week 1 and won’t make that mistake again. Look for a blowout victory.
Arians’ Locks 2020: 14-14-1 (50%)
Arians ATS 2020: 120-113-6 (52%)
Arians’ Locks 2018: 16-14-1 (53%)
To wager on these games and more, head over to BetOnline.
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